Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)


	Eibar C		Santurtzi

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.43	3.26	2.04
	3.66	3.58	1.87	Watch
	3.24	3.55	2.09
	3.33	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)	3.36 ↑ (2.95)	2.01 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar C
27%

Draw
27.3%

Santurtzi
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.5%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Eibar C - Santurtzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Hernandez B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In recent matches, Eibar C has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santurtzi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Santurtzi has had a series of home games.

Santurtzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5
17	Santurtzi	5	1	0	4	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Pasaia - Eibar C	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Eibar C - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Deusto - Eibar C	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Eibar C - Portugalete	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLTL
- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Santurtzi - Añorga	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Santurtzi - Durango	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Santurtzi - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Santurtzi - Zarautz KE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	Santurtzi - Eibar C	2:0
16.02.25	Santurtzi - Eibar C	3:0

Eibar C - Santurtzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide