Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Derio		Eibar C

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.62	3.7	4.8
	1.31	4.74	9.21	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.57	3.68	5.18
	1.57	3.79	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	3.82 ↓ (3.84)	5.62 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derio
59.5%

Draw
24.1%

Eibar C
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+1%)

Derio - Eibar C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Barron J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Barron J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Derio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eibar C has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Derio is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Derio	5	3	2	0	7:2	5	11
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Añorga - Derio	3:0 ✺
19.03.26	Derio - Durango	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Derio	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Derio - Zamudio	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Santurtzi - Derio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWT
- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Eibar C - Touring KE	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alavés C - Eibar C	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Leioa - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.11.25	Eibar C - Derio	1:1
23.02.25	Eibar C - Derio	0:0

Derio - Eibar C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide