Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Portugalete		Eibar C

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.35	5.9
	1.45	5.3	4.67
	1.43	5.31	4.99	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.38	5	5.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	4.89 ↓ (4.99)	5.24 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
64%

Draw
18.6%

Eibar C
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

18.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

17.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Eibar C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Portugalete - Eibar C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Perez Alvarez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, ⚽,
82', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Portugalete have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eibar C's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Portugalete is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.04.26	Añorga - Portugalete	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Portugalete - Durango	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Portugalete	2:2 ✺
19.03.26	Portugalete - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Santurtzi - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTWT
- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.04.26	Eibar C - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Derio - Eibar C	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Eibar C - Touring KE	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alavés C - Eibar C	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Eibar C - Portugalete	0:5
17.04.25	Portugalete - Eibar C	2:1
06.12.24	Eibar C - Portugalete	1:1

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