Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	16:00	Ruutu+
Usa	09:00	SportsEngine Play


	Ekenäs		PK-35 Vantaa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.25
	3	3.3	2.18	Watch
	3.32	3.55	2.19
	2.9	3.39	2.36	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.12
	3.06	3.48	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.82)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
30.6%

Draw
27.4%

PK-35 Vantaa
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

PK-35 Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PK-35 Vantaa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Ekenäs - PK 35 Vantaa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. EIF will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). PK-35 will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 23. Bah S. 15. Bjorklund A. 30. Gunes O. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 29. Mohamed F. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A.	1. Ramula A. (G) 34. Andberg T. (C) 7. Diniz P. 3. Forsstrom A. 14. Kawakita E. 6. Nakanishi J. 88. Pikkuhookana J. 21. Rasanen K. 2. Sipi R. 15. Tapani J. 23. Uchiyama S.
Substitutes
1. Heino O. (G) 24. Pelkonen N. 40. Phillips E. 21. Sandbacka A. 18. Sivonen A.	12. Azabani D. (G) 8. Costa J. 16. Jokiniemi N. 25. Kivela A. (G) 22. Lokake L. 24. Ndaziramiye N. 9. Sadik I. 10. Salmensuu O. 19. Tolonen M.
Coaches
Lignell M.	Santos T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Sipi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sipi R. ↓, Tolonen M. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Uchiyama S. ⚽, Diniz P. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Uchiyama S. ⚽,
61', Tapani J. ↓, Lokake L. ↑,
61', Kawakita E. ↓, Salmensuu O. ↑,
66', Maes D. ↓, Pelkonen N. ↑,
69', Andberg T. 🟨,
77', Bjorklund A. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
77', Peltola A. 🟨,
83', Pikkuhookana J. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
85', Diniz P. ↓, Jokiniemi N. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Salmensuu O. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 3.

In recent matches, EIF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PK-35 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PK-35 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, EIF won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, EIF won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

PK-35 Vantaa - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	JIPPO - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	5:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ekenäs - KaPa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLW
- PK-35 Vantaa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
26.06.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	0:5 ✺
31.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Klubi 04 - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	JIPPO - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.04.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	4:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
31.01.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	2:0
Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.10.25	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	1:2
27.06.25	Ekenäs - PK-35 Vantaa	2:0
02.05.25	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	1:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
01.02.25	Ekenäs - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1
Finnish Ykkonen
23.07.22	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	3:1

Ekenäs - PK-35 Vantaa