Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KTP Kotka		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.15	4.85	Watch
	1.58	4.44	5.31
	1.54	4.63	5.01	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.6
	1.51	4.15	5.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.25 ↑ (3.98)	4.98 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
59.8%

Draw
21.7%

Ekenäs
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

KTP Kotka - Ekenäs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - draw (3.63) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KTP Kotka will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 5. Holtta S. 7. Makela J. (C) 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 19. Polat R. 13. Tahmbi N. 37. Tanaka A.	12. Mikkonen A. (G) 19. Agbo D. 17. Etu F. 30. Gunes O. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 29. Mohamed F. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A. 9. Veinbergs N.
Substitutes
3. Agyei D. 18. Eloluoto O. 21. Hanninen O. 2. Huttunen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 30. Puhakainen L. 14. Sunday G. 20. Tulehmo A.	23. Bah S. 15. Bjorklund A. 1. Heino O. (G) 20. Helander L. 11. Mohammed N. 24. Pelkonen N. 7. Pimentel L. 21. Sandbacka A.
Coaches
Pasoja J.	Lignell M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Coker M. ⚽, Tanaka A. (A),
32', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Veinbergs N. ⚽,
40', Agbo D. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Forsell P. ⚽,
43', Tanaka A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kerrebijn R. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Forsell P. ⚽, Polat R. (A),
60', Polat R. ↓, Hanninen O. ↑,
60', Holtta S. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
68', Etu F. ↓, Bah S. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Forsell P. ⚽,
75', Forsell P. ↓, Tulehmo A. ↑,
80', Mohamed F. 🟨,
81', Agbo D. ↓, Helander L. ↑,
81', Gunes O. ↓, Sandbacka A. ↑,
81', Lucas Kaufmann ↓, Pelkonen N. ↑,
84', Sandbacka A. 🟨,
89', 5 - 1, Tulehmo A. ⚽,
90+2', Chibuzor C. ↓, Puhakainen L. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 2.

KTP is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

EIF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

KTP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, KTP is seen as the favorite.

We predict that KTP will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, KTP won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	JäPS - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.06.26	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ekenäs - KaPa	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Haka - Ekenäs	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.05.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	5:2
Finnish Cup
21.06.23	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	3:0
Finnish Ykkonen
02.10.22	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	1:2
30.07.22	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	2:0
30.05.22	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	1:1
Club Friendly
26.03.21	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	1:2
Finnish Ykkonen
25.09.20	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	3:2

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