Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ekenäs		SJK Akatemia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.20	4.33
	1.55	4.25	4.5	Watch
	1.58	4.88	4.82
	1.57	4.78	4.56	Watch
	1.54	4.75	4.5
	1.48	4.45	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	4.55 ↑ (4.16)	4.6 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
59.7%

Draw
20.2%

SJK Akatemia
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

18.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

SJK Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekenäs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. EIF will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. EIF (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - EIF (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - SJK Akatemia (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - SJK Akatemia (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. EIF (votes: 2 - 50%). SJK Akatemia (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 19. Agbo D. 23. Bah S. 17. Etu F. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 29. Mohamed F. 11. Mohammed N. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A. 13. Sallinen O.	60. James S. (G) 10. Berjali I. 14. Cauet Werner 47. Cisse A. 17. Cisse M. 22. Kangaskokko T. 5. Lehto E. (C) 39. Nzoko E. 24. Sairinen A. 9. Silagailis H. 6. Vuksanovic N.
Substitutes
1. Anttalainen A. 30. Gunes O. 25. Hamdi M. 27. Kocol D. 24. Pelkonen N. 21. Sandbacka A.	28. Bulgakov D. 4. Pihlaja O. 3. Raiski O.
Coaches
Lignell M.	Lopes P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Lucas Kaufmann ⚽,
41', Vuksanovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mohammed N. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Berjali I. ⚽, Cisse M. (A),
54', Kangaskokko T. ↓, Raiski O. ↑,
64', Etu F. ↓, Kocol D. ↑,
72', Agbo D. 🟨,
72', Silagailis H. 🟨,
75', Cisse A. ↓, Pihlaja O. ↑,
81', Sallinen O. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 3.

Recent results have been tough for EIF (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

SJK Akatemia has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

SJK Akatemia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

EIF carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, EIF has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 35:10 (averaging 2.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for EIF against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:9 goals (averaging 2.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29
10	SJK Akatemia ✔	25	2	8	15	17:41	-24	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.09.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ekenäs - Haka	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ekenäs - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLL
- SJK Akatemia
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.09.26	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - SJK Akatemia	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	SJK Akatemia - Klubi 04	2:6 ✺
21.08.26	Haka - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.26	SJK Akatemia - Ekenäs	0:0
17.05.26	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
14.02.26	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:2
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.08.25	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	2:3
13.07.25	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:1
21.05.25	SJK Akatemia - Ekenäs	0:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
08.02.25	SJK Akatemia - Ekenäs	1:1

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