Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	SJK Akatemia		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.20
	2.43	3.35	2.43	Watch
	2.67	4.04	2.38
	2.66	3.79	2.36	Watch
	2.60	4.00	2.30
	2.74	3.68	2.31	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)	3.69 ↑ (3.69)	2.31 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK Akatemia
35.2%

Draw
24.9%

KaPa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

25%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

24.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

SJK Akatemia - KaPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. James S. (G) 19. Achi A. C. 10. Berjali I. 22. Kangaskokko T. 5. Lehto E. (C) 39. Nzoko E. 3. Raiski O. 24. Sairinen A. 9. Silagailis H. 23. Tollinen T. 6. Vuksanovic N.	1. Collin T. (G) 4. Hietalahti P. 8. Huhtamaki R. 2. Huhtamaki U. 31. Isaksson K. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 28. Lappalainen E. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D. 11. Sillah S.
Substitutes
14. Cauet Werner 17. Cisse M. 32. Huttunen L. (G) 8. Machaal A. 41. Padera P. 4. Pihlaja O. 15. Salmivuori E.	35. Brusiin O. (G) 37. Heinonen O. 19. Koivuranta T. 7. Leinonen N. 29. Salmi J. 39. Savini S. 26. Toivonen H.
Coaches
Lopes P.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Nzoko E. ⚽, Berjali I. (A),
37', Isaksson K. ↓, Leinonen N. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Lika Y. ⚽, Sillah S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 1, Achi A. C. ⚽,
65', Silagailis H. ↓, Machaal A. ↑,
65', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Toivonen H. ↑,
72', Puputti S. 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Ripatti D. ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, Hietalahti P. ⚽,
79', Kangaskokko T. ↓, Pihlaja O. ↑,
79', Sairinen A. ↓, Salmivuori E. ↑,
79', Vuksanovic N. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
87', Lika Y. ↓, Savini S. ↑,
90+2', Lehto E. 🟨,
90+4', Savini S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK Akatemia won 1.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

SJK Akatemia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, SJK Akatemia has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 34:21 (averaging 2.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SJK Akatemia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 16:6 goals (averaging 3.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24
10	SJK Akatemia ✔	25	2	8	15	17:41	-24	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Akatemia
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.09.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - SJK Akatemia	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	SJK Akatemia - Klubi 04	2:6 ✺
21.08.26	Haka - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	JIPPO - SJK Akatemia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLLLW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.09.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	Klubi 04 - KaPa	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	KaPa - JIPPO	1:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.07.26	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:2
10.04.26	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
22.02.26	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	0:0
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.09.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	3:1
18.06.25	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	5:3
27.04.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	0:3
Club Friendly
12.04.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:4

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