The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ekranas 16.5%
Draw 18.3%
Dainava Alytus 65.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.8%
23.1%
58.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
22.8%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekranas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dainava Alytus's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dainava Alytus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ekranas - Dainava Alytus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', (Penalty Awarded),
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', 🟥,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Ekranas (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Dainava have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Dainava may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dainava has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Dainava is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Ekranas has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:12 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ekranas against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:5 goals (averaging 3:0.8 per game).
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