Match Info

I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	DAZN Canada
Usa	DAZN USA


	Garliava		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.50	1.93
	3.55	3.55	1.81
	3.56	3.73	1.87
	3.49	3.84	1.83	Watch
	3.45	3.60	1.78
	3.43	3.94	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.63)	3.69 ↑ (3.2)	1.85 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
26.3%

Draw
24.6%

Dainava Alytus
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garliava's form might have worsened.

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dainava Alytus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garliava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dainava Alytus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Garliava - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dainava will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dainava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 8th).

Garliava has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Dainava is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Garliava has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Garliava against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
19.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Garliava - BFA Vilnius	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
18.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dainava Alytus - Minija Kretinga	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
01.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:2 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
28.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
08.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Garliava	1:0
05.08.22	Dainava Alytus - Garliava	2:0
26.03.22	Garliava - Dainava Alytus	1:2

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