Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ekranas		Garliava

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.80	1.55
	4.7	3.75	1.55
	4.65	3.78	1.54
	4.9	3.9	1.58	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.53
	5.55	3.86	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.83)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekranas
18.5%

Draw
23.6%

Garliava
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

24.2%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

23.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekranas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekranas's form might have worsened.

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Garliava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Ekranas - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 2.

Ekranas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Garliava is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Garliava is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ekranas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25:58	-33	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Ekranas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:5 ✺
21.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Ekranas	3:2 ✺
14.08.26	Ekranas - Minija Kretinga	0:5 ✺
07.08.26	Jonava - Ekranas	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWT
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Garliava	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.26	Garliava - Ekranas	3:1
16.08.24	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0
23.03.24	Garliava - Ekranas	1:0
04.11.23	Garliava - Ekranas	4:0
25.06.23	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0
20.08.22	Ekranas - Garliava	3:3
09.04.22	Garliava - Ekranas	1:0

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