Match Info

I Lyga - Round 22

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Garliava		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.60	1.63
	4.4	3.95	1.55
	5.03	4.2	1.55
	3.9	4.04	1.7	Watch
	4.2	4.1	1.54
	4.33	3.71	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (2.98)	3.93 ↑ (3.13)	1.62 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
20.8%

Draw
23.1%

Babrungas Plungė
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.9%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garliava's form might have worsened.

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Babrungas Plungė's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garliava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babrungas Plungė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Garliava - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Garliava will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Babrungas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 0.

Garliava is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Babrungas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Babrungas is considered a favorite.

We predict that Babrungas will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Garliava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
21.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Garliava	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Jonava - Garliava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	1:0
26.07.24	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	5:0
13.04.24	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	1:2
29.07.23	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	3:4
10.03.23	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	3:2
01.10.22	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	2:0
28.05.22	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	5:0

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