The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Bayadh 47.6%
Draw 30.9%
Mostaganem 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
33.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
31.9%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Bayadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Bayadh's performance.
Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mostaganem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Bayadh than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Bayadh that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mostaganem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.1%
6.5%
6.5%
El Bayadh - Mostaganem Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. El Bayadh will win (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Mostaganem will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for El Bayadh: 75.3% โ 98.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - El Bayadh (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - El Bayadh (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Mostaganem (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): El Bayadh will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. El Bayadh (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Mostaganem (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Cherif M. (G) 7. Adjout L. 27. Atallah I. 15. Belkhadem M. 24. Benyahia D. 6. El Orfi A. 18. Kaidi I. E. 8. Keniche M. 4. Marwani M. 23. Meddah A. 14. Yerou O.
13. Al Omari S. 40. Aziria M. 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. 2. Boualleg A. 15. Boulkaboul C. 21. Gaagaa A. 9. Haroun A. 7. Motrani Z. 33. Slimane A. 26. Sryer B.
Substitutes
17. Belmiloud K. 20. Benabda Z. 30. Bouchikhi N. (G) 29. Chelali A. 10. Dahmani K. 5. Ghanem A. 26. Khiari O. 21. Mahboub A. A. 13. Sheeta O.
11. Askar A. 14. Bengrina M. 8. Benkhelifa T. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 22. Bouguettaya A. 1. Hannane A. (G) 31. Laireche F. H. 3. Masmoudi B. 20. Toumi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Belmiloud K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
El Bayadh is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mostaganem has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Mostaganem will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, El Bayadh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, El Bayadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.