Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 30

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	El Ejido		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.15
	3.9	2.8	2
	3.48	2.98	2.2
	3.64	3.02	2.08
	3.2	2.95	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.62)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	2.13 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
26.1%

Draw
31.1%

UCAM Murcia
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

34.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Ejido's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Ejido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Ejido - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 1.

Recent matches El Ejido is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.04.23	Mancha Real - El Ejido	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	El Ejido - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Vélez - El Ejido	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	El Ejido - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Sevilla B - El Ejido	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTWL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.04.23	UCAM Murcia - Antequera	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Cadiz CF B - UCAM Murcia	0:4 ✺
26.03.23	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Betis B - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.12.22	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	1:1
Club Friendly
18.08.21	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.02.21	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	1:1
08.11.20	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	2:1
27.04.19	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	2:0
09.12.18	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	3:0
Club Friendly
25.07.18	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	2:0

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