Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 27

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	4.8
	1.7	3	5.25
	1.74	3.04	5.19
	1.82	3.13	4.6
	1.72	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)	3.1 (3.1)	4.93 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
52.4%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético Sanluqueño
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

29.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

28.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia's form might have worsened.

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Sanluqueño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Sanluqueño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCAM Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 2.

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Sanluqueño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.03.23	Betis B - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Yeclano Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Utrera - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	UCAM Murcia - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTTT
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.03.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Vélez	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.03.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	1:1
05.11.21	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.04.21	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:2
04.04.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	0:1
15.01.20	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	2:1
25.08.19	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0

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