Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Deportivo Marítimo		El Palmar

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.98
	2.15	3.24	3.21
	3.51	2.84	2.25	Watch
	2.18	3.13	3.11
	2.05	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.03)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Marítimo
38.6%

Draw
29.9%

El Palmar
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Marítimo's form might have worsened.

El Palmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Marítimo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

El Palmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Marítimo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Marítimo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Marítimo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Muleño	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Atlético Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Santomera - Deportivo Marítimo	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW
- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.25	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Caravaca - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	El Palmar - Cieza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.02.25	El Palmar - Deportivo Marítimo	0:1
13.10.24	Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar	2:2

Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide