Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	El Palmar		Muleño

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.6
	1.69	3.61	4.74	Watch
	1.95	3.59	3.59
	1.89	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palmar
49.8%

Draw
26.5%

Muleño
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

El Palmar - Muleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Cases S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

El Palmar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Palmar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Caravaca - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLWTW
- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Muleño - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Muleño	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muleño - Real Murcia B	2:4 ✺
26.10.25	Unión Molinense - Muleño	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Muleño - Yeclano B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.05.25	Muleño - El Palmar	0:2
22.12.24	El Palmar - Muleño	1:2
04.02.24	Muleño - El Palmar	0:2
17.09.23	El Palmar - Muleño	0:0
05.02.23	El Palmar - Muleño	0:0
09.10.22	Muleño - El Palmar	3:2
Club Friendly
27.08.22	Muleño - El Palmar	3:1

El Palmar - Muleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide