Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	El Palmar		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.62	3.18	5.74
	1.69	3.65	4.95
	1.63	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.18)	3.45 ↑ (3.1)	5.09 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palmar
55.6%

Draw
26.5%

Racing Murcia
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Palmar's performance.

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Palmar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

El Palmar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Palmar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams El Palmar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Minera - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	El Palmar - Balsicas Atlético	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Muleño - El Palmar	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	El Palmar - Ciudad de Murcia	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Racing Murcia - Montecasillas	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Pulpileño - Racing Murcia	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Real Murcia B - Racing Murcia	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Racing Murcia - Minera	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Racing Murcia - Balsicas Atlético	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.10.23	Racing Murcia - El Palmar	1:0
12.03.23	Racing Murcia - El Palmar	1:1
14.11.22	El Palmar - Racing Murcia	2:5
20.03.22	El Palmar - Racing Murcia	2:1
07.11.21	Racing Murcia - El Palmar	4:0

El Palmar - Racing Murcia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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