Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Minera		El Palmar

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.49	3.67	6.27
	1.47	3.78	6.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	3.68 ↑ (3.39)	6.28 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
61%

Draw
24.6%

El Palmar
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minera's performance.

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Minera won 2.

Minera in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches El Palmar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Minera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Minera is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Minera to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Minera won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Minera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.02.24	Montecasillas - Minera	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Minera - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Racing Murcia - Minera	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Minera - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Balsicas Atlético - Minera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWW
- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.02.24	El Palmar - Balsicas Atlético	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Muleño - El Palmar	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	El Palmar - Ciudad de Murcia	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:4 ✺
14.01.24	Caravaca - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.10.23	El Palmar - Minera	0:2
26.02.23	Minera - El Palmar	2:2
30.10.22	El Palmar - Minera	2:1
27.02.22	Minera - El Palmar	1:0
17.10.21	El Palmar - Minera	1:0
08.12.19	Minera - El Palmar	4:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	El Palmar - Minera	1:3

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