Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.52	3.5	4.8
	1.59	3.45	5.32
	1.53	3.72	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.82)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	5.22 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
57.8%

Draw
25.1%

Racing Murcia
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia B's performance.

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia B won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Racing Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Murcia B is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Murcia B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.01.24	Algar - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Minera - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Real Murcia B - Plus Ultra	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Real Murcia B - Balsicas Atlético	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Bullense - Real Murcia B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWT
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.01.24	Racing Murcia - Minera	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Racing Murcia - Balsicas Atlético	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Muleño - Racing Murcia	1:3 ✺
07.01.24	Racing Murcia - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Unión Molinense - Racing Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.09.23	Racing Murcia - Real Murcia B	1:2
22.01.23	Racing Murcia - Real Murcia B	0:1
25.09.22	Real Murcia B - Racing Murcia	2:4
09.04.22	Racing Murcia - Real Murcia B	1:2
28.11.21	Real Murcia B - Racing Murcia	0:0
02.05.21	Racing Murcia - Real Murcia B	0:0
11.04.21	Real Murcia B - Racing Murcia	0:2

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