Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	El Palo		Malaga B

	1	X	2
	5	3.1	1.68
	5.8	3.35	1.6
	6.27	3.28	1.6
	5.76	3.66	1.61
	5.8	3.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↓ (7.06)	3.35 ↓ (4.5)	1.62 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palo
16%

Draw
27.4%

Malaga B
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

20.2%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.6%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Malaga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malaga B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malaga B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Palo - Malaga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mateo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
51', 0 - 2, Chupe ⚽,
60', 0 - 3, Chupe ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, Aranda Falu ⚽,
83', 1 - 5, Juani ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 6, Chamorro A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Palo won 1.

Recent matches El Palo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malaga B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Malaga B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malaga B is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches El Palo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams El Palo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.03.25	El Palo - Málaga Juniors	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Marbellí - El Palo	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Martos - El Palo	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Torredonjimeno - El Palo	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	El Palo - Atlético Porcuna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLT
- Malaga B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.03.25	Malaga B - Huétor Tájar	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Torredonjimeno - Malaga B	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna	6:0 ✺
23.02.25	Motril - Malaga B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Malaga B - Torre Del Mar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.24	Malaga B - El Palo	3:0
21.05.23	El Palo - Malaga B	1:0
14.05.23	Malaga B - El Palo	0:0
16.04.23	Malaga B - El Palo	1:1
11.12.22	El Palo - Malaga B	0:0
03.04.22	El Palo - Malaga B	0:1
05.12.21	Malaga B - El Palo	0:1

El Palo - Malaga B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide