The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Porvenir 25.4%
Draw 31.4%
Cañuelas 43.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34%
32.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
34.7%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Porvenir's form might have worsened.
Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cañuelas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Porvenir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cañuelas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Porvenir - Cañuelas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Arrieta J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', De Mario R. 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Arias J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 1.
In recent outings, El Porvenir has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cañuelas is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, El Porvenir has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Porvenir against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Cañuelas - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.33%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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