Match Info

Primera C - Round 21

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sportivo Barracas		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.75	2.45
	2.66	2.43	3.23
	2.67	2.65	2.93	Watch
	2.60	2.30	3.15
	2.82	2.61	3.03
	2.60	2.46	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)	2.97 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Barracas
33.5%

Draw
35.8%

El Porvenir
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

32.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

31.1%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Porvenir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sportivo Barracas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Ortega L. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Villagra L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Ortiz E. ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, Oviedo N. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 1.

Recent performances by Sportivo Barracas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Porvenir's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sportivo Barracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Barracas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Barracas - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
17.07.26	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	3:2 ✺
13.07.26	Fénix - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - General Lamadrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
18.07.26	Mercedes - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	General Lamadrid - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	El Porvenir - Leones de Rosario	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	El Porvenir - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
30.03.26	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:2
09.08.24	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	1:0
08.03.24	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
20.11.23	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	1:0
06.08.23	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	2:1
08.04.23	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:0
Argentinian Primera C
13.05.19	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	0:0

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