Match Info

Primera C - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Ituzaingó		Puerto Nuevo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	3.9	8
				Watch
	1.39	3.78	7.36
	1.42	4.24	6.80	Watch
	1.39	3.9	8.15	Watch
	1.35	4.25	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.01 ↓ (4.2)	7.68 ↓ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
65.6%

Draw
22.6%

Puerto Nuevo
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.7%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

20%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ituzaingó - Puerto Nuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Moreira A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Gimenez E. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Moreira A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Ituzaingó is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Puerto Nuevo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ituzaingó is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ituzaingó will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
12.07.25	Lugano - Ituzaingó	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Ituzaingó - Berazategui	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Atlético Claypole - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWT
- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
12.07.25	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Español	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Atlético Claypole - Puerto Nuevo	4:1 ✺
29.06.25	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Puerto Nuevo	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
05.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	1:0
27.09.24	Ituzaingó - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
27.04.24	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
08.03.17	Ituzaingó - Puerto Nuevo	1:0
29.08.16	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	0:1

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