The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Álamo 30.3%
Draw 26.6%
Rayo Vallecano B 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
24%
59.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
24.1%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Álamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Álamo's performance.
Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Álamo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Álamo - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
5', 0 - 1, Alonso S. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Becerra S. ⚽,
14', 0 - 3, Alonso S. ⚽,
33', 0 - 4, Alonso S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 4, Zamorano G. ⚽,
83', 2 - 4, Zamorano G. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches El Álamo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rayo Vallecano B is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Rayo Vallecano B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Rayo Vallecano B is absolute favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches El Álamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.6:2.4).
Including matches at home between the teams El Álamo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
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