Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Elana Toruń		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	6.93	4.35	1.39	Watch
	5.6	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.27 ↑ (5.6)	4.55 ↓ (4.75)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
14.4%

Draw
19.8%

Noteć Czarnków
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

18.6%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

16.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noteć Czarnków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elana Toruń - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
27', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

Elana Toruń is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Noteć Czarnków has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elana Toruń may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Noteć Czarnków is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elana Toruń won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notec Czarnkow	11	5	1	5	18:15	3	16
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	0:4 ✺
13.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Elana Toruń	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Elana Toruń - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Września - Elana Toruń	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	0:1
01.05.25	Elana Toruń - Noteć Czarnków	1:1
05.10.24	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	3:4
06.04.24	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	0:0
09.09.23	Elana Toruń - Noteć Czarnków	1:0

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