Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Noteć Czarnków		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.56	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 (2.41)	3.56 (3.56)	2.3 (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 13.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Czarnków
36.7%

Draw
24.8%

Unia Swarzędz
38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Noteć Czarnków have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Unia Swarzędz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).

Noteć Czarnków has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unia Swarzędz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noteć Czarnków won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Noteć Czarnków won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notec Czarnkow	11	5	1	5	18:15	3	16
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Noteć Czarnków - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 36.7%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Unia Swarzędz - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	3:1
23.11.24	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	2:3
03.08.24	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	1:1
27.04.24	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	3:2
30.09.23	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	3:1

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