Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Elana Toruń		Luzino

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.10	1.44
	4.9	4.15	1.47
	4.69	4.09	1.53
	5.6	4.6	1.43	Watch
	4.6	4	1.51
	4.16	4.16	1.66	Watch
	4.2	4.15	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.3)	4.18 ↑ (3.79)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
18.8%

Draw
21.6%

Luzino
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23.4%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.4%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Elana Toruń - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Woroniecki K. ⚽, Stolc D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
84', 2 - 0, Roznowski M. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Krefft J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Karbownik K. ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - Division 2).

Elana Toruń is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Luzino is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Luzino carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Elana Toruń has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elana Toruń against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	18	25
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Elana Toruń - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	KKS Kalisz - Elana Toruń	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLLL
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Luzino - Noteć Czarnków	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Luzino - Grom Nowy Staw	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	0:4 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Luzino - Wisła Płock	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.26	Luzino - Elana Toruń	2:1
28.09.25	Elana Toruń - Luzino	2:1
13.04.24	Elana Toruń - Luzino	3:0
16.09.23	Luzino - Elana Toruń	1:2

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