Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Unia Swarzędz		Luzino

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.75	1.88
	3.55	3.70	1.75
	2.75	4.26	1.94
	3.14	4.22	1.86	Watch
	2.70	4.20	1.92
	3.09	3.86	2.01	Watch
	3.23	3.47	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	3.92 ↑ (3.47)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
29.3%

Draw
23%

Luzino
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

25.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Unia Swarzędz - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Gozdzik G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 1 - 1, Pawlowski O. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Sosnowski F. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

Unia Swarzędz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Luzino has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Luzino may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Luzino carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Unia Swarzędz has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unia Swarzędz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	18	25
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	4:3 ✺
04.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.09.26	Luzino - Grom Nowy Staw	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	0:4 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Luzino - Wisła Płock	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Luzino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.11.25	Luzino - Unia Swarzędz	3:0
08.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:1
01.05.24	Luzino - Unia Swarzędz	1:2
07.10.23	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	2:1

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