Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.9	3.32	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.88	3.2	3.92
	1.92	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	3.83 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
48.1%

Draw
28.2%

Colonia Moscardó
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-2%)

Elche Ilicitano - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Felipe P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Segovia D. ⚽,

Preview

Ilicitano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moscardó has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ilicitano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilicitano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Colonia Moscardó - the odds 4.14 are the expected chance of winning is 22.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Las Palmas B - Elche Ilicitano	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Conquense	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Fuenlabrada - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Elche Ilicitano - Coria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Getafe B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWTTT
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Colonia Moscardó - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Orihuela - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Quintanar del Rey	1:5 ✺
14.12.25	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2

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