Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Elche Ilicitano		Coria

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.45
	2.62	2.98	2.52
	2.87	2.96	2.65
	2.77	2.97	2.57	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.6
	2.71	2.88	2.54
	2.83	2.83	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.09)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.56 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
33.2%

Draw
31.2%

Coria
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

29.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

28.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elche Ilicitano - Coria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Choco ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Imadiyi C. 🟥,
61', 1 - 1, Mercadal A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Ilicitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coria is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ilicitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Elche Ilicitano - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.27%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Coria - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	Getafe B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWTL
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	Coria - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Socuéllamos - Coria	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Coria - Las Palmas B	1:0 ✺
19.11.25	Coria - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Intercity - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW

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