Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.58	2.88	2.68
	2.73	2.87	2.68	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.7
	2.63	2.8	2.69
	2.71	2.9	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)	2.82 ↓ (3.01)	2.69 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
34%

Draw
32.2%

Conquense
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Elche Ilicitano - Conquense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Conquense (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Conquense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Quique ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Houary A. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Salvador N. ⚽,
23', 3 - 1, Houary A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 4 - 1, Konare U. ⚽,
64', 4 - 2, Quique ⚽,
80', 5 - 2, Imadiyi C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Ilicitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Conquense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Elche Ilicitano - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Fuenlabrada - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Elche Ilicitano - Coria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Getafe B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTTLW
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Conquense - Intercity	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Socuéllamos - Conquense	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Conquense - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Las Palmas B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Conquense - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTTW

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