Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.6
	2.7	2.85	2.45
	2.68	2.88	2.58
	2.83	3	2.54
	3.22	2.39	2.84	Watch
	2.8	2.93	2.57
	2.65	2.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.49)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)	2.59 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
32.7%

Draw
32.2%

Navalcarnero
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

31.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

32.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.09.25	Real Madrid C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Elche Ilicitano - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Intercity - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Elche Ilicitano - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Cartagena - Elche Ilicitano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTTL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Valladolid B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

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