Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Eldense		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.00	2.65	Watch
	2.70	3.00	2.50
	2.80	3.00	2.40	Watch
	2.83	3.14	2.84
	2.99	3.15	2.5	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.80
	2.94	3.04	2.61	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.62)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	2.62 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
33.6%

Draw
30.6%

Eibar
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Eldense - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Eibar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 5. Serradell A. G. 4. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 14. Smith J. 15. Guirao C. 10. Fidel (C) 12. Lopez R. 33. Olabarrieta A. 11. Nieto M.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 4. Elgezabal U. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Bernat J. 30. Garrido A. 8. Madariaga A. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 21. Gil I. 7. Ares A. 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
36. Bernabeu D. (G) 17. Clemente J. 13. Juanpa (G) 3. Larios J. 18. Macho G. 24. Martinez J. 7. Rastrojo J. 2. Recio I. 29. Rodrigues D. 20. Rubio W. 22. Yanda J.	15. Amador J. 18. Arana M. 2. Cubero S. 3. Garcia de Albeniz I. 27. Gift E. 10. Guruzeta J. 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 28. Nunez L. 17. Pejino
Coaches
Calleja J.	Aranbarri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ⚽, Garrido A. (A),
30', Nieto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bernat J. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
52', Bautista J. 🟨,
54', Ares A. 🟨,
59', Bautista J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
59', Ares A. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Gil I. ⚽, Madariaga A. (A),
66', Ruiz D. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
66', Lopez R. ↓, Macho G. ↑,
72', Gil I. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
73', Nieto M. ↓, Rastrojo J. ↑,
73', Guirao C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
75', Fidel ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Smith J. ⚽,
77', Smith J. 🟨,
86', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Amador J. ↑,
90', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
90+4', Nunez L. 🟨,

Preview

Eldense has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Eibar is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Eibar: Alvarez S. (Injury) Bernat J. (Inactive) Garcia de Albeniz I. (Injury) Nolaskoain P. (Ankle Injury) Olaetxea L. (Injury) Perez E. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Eldense: Cabanes P. (Injury) Carmona M. (Injury) Olaizola J. (Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Eldense has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eldense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Eibar: 13.54% Eldense: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.68%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.26	Sporting de Gijón - Eldense	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Eldense - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Leganés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Eldense - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Almería - Eldense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
14.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Eibar	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	FC Andorra - Eibar	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Eibar - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Eibar - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.25	Eldense - Eibar	1:3
12.10.24	Eibar - Eldense	1:0
30.03.24	Eibar - Eldense	5:1
28.08.23	Eldense - Eibar	2:1

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