Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Eldense		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.93	3.14	4.39
	1.92	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	4.22 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
48.6%

Draw
29.8%

Mancha Real
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Eldense - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Eldense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mancha Real is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Eldense - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Águilas - Eldense	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Eldense - Melilla	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Real Murcia - Eldense	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Eldense - Hércules	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWT
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Mancha Real - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Mancha Real - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	El Ejido - Mancha Real	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Mancha Real - Levante B	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Pulpileño - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWLL

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