Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Eldense		Racing Cartagena MM

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.4
	2.18	2.9	3.3
	2.44	2.65	3.6
	2.2	2.98	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)	2.85 ↓ (3.18)	3.44 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
41.1%

Draw
32.2%

Racing Cartagena MM
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

19.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Racing Cartagena MM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Cartagena MM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eldense - Racing Cartagena MM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

Recent matches Eldense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mar Menor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mar Menor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Eldense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.01.22	Intercity - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Eldense - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.01.22	Granada B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Eldense - Marchamalo	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Deportivo Toledo - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTWT
- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.01.22	Racing Cartagena MM - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Racing Cartagena MM - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Levante B - Racing Cartagena MM	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Pulpileño	4:0 ✺
05.12.21	Socuéllamos - Racing Cartagena MM	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.09.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Eldense	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.19	Racing Cartagena MM - Eldense	0:1

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