Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Eldense		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.51	3.55	6
	1.52	3.65	7.75
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.51	3.72	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	6.28 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
60%

Draw
25.4%

Marchamalo
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

19.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Eldense - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Eldense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchamalo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Eldense is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Deportivo Toledo - Eldense	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Eldense - Mancha Real	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Eldense - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Águilas - Eldense	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Eldense - Melilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWW
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Marchamalo - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	El Ejido - Marchamalo	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Marchamalo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Marchamalo - Levante B	1:7 ✺
21.11.21	Pulpileño - Marchamalo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLLT

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