Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday


	Elfsborg		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6	Watch
	1.48	4.4	6
	1.47	4.7	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.4	5.6
	1.51	4.67	6.51
	1.44	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.75	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)	4.49 ↓ (4.62)	6.17 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
63.9%

Draw
20.9%

IFK Östersunds
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.3%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78%

17.3%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	7.5%	15%

Elfsborg - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). IFK Östersunds will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Elfsborg has the most likely position - 4 (15.73%), has project points - 48, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (20.95%), has project points - 29, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Elfsborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Östersund is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Östersund could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elfsborg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Elfsborg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.07.21	Elfsborg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
05.07.21	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.06.21	Varbergs BoIS - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
19.06.21	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.21	Elfsborg - Norrköping	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.07.21	IFK Östersunds - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.07.21	Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds	3:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.07.21	Degerfors - IFK Östersunds	3:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.07.21	IFK Östersunds - Täfteå	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.21	AIK - IFK Östersunds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
23.08.20	Elfsborg - IFK Östersunds	0:1
09.08.20	IFK Östersunds - Elfsborg	0:1
19.08.19	Elfsborg - IFK Östersunds	4:1
19.04.19	IFK Östersunds - Elfsborg	1:1
06.08.18	Elfsborg - IFK Östersunds	0:2
28.07.18	IFK Östersunds - Elfsborg	1:0
28.10.17	IFK Östersunds - Elfsborg	4:1

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