Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 7

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Elfsborg		GAIS

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.35	3.6	3	Watch
	2.4	3.53	2.99
	2.3	3.57	2.98
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	2.4	3.53	2.71	Watch
	2.34	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.83)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	3.04 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
41.7%

Draw
27.1%

GAIS
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Elfsborg - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). GAIS will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 2 - 40%). GAIS (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - GAIS (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - GAIS (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 2 - 25%). GAIS (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson S. (G) 6. Wikstrom R. 29. Buhari I. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. (C) 10. Olsson S. 23. Hult N. 24. Ihler F. 11. Silverholt T. 25. Sigurpalsson A.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 4. Agren O. 24. Beckman F. 12. Frej R. 9. Lundgren G. 32. Ibrahim H. 8. Milovanovic W. 16. Niklasson R. 19. Diabate I. 10. Boudri A.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 14. Berndtsson K. 17. Frick P. 30. Hagg L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 26. Richtner L. 22. Sodeliden A.	7. Aberg J. 26. Amatkarijo C. 11. Becirovic E. 22. Cardaklija A. 2. de Brienne M. 28. Hedlund L. 18. Holmen K. 25. Lindberg J. 13. Sims K. (G)
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Holmberg F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Olsson S. 🟨,
17', Boudri A. 🟨,
35', Ibrahim H. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Ihler F. ⚽, Silverholt T. (A),
41', Hedlund S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Yegbe T. ⚽, Silverholt T. (A),
58', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Richtner L. ↑,
58', Beckman F. ↓, Aberg J. ↑,
58', Boudri A. ↓, Amatkarijo C. ↑,
62', Silverholt T. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
73', Milovanovic W. ↓, Holmen K. ↑,
73', Niklasson R. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
81', Diabate I. ↓, Hedlund L. ↑,
82', Ihler F. ↓, Aronsson F. ↑,
90+2', Kaib R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

GAIS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elfsborg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Magnusson J. (Inactive) Thomasen J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Zeneli A. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.25	AIK - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Elfsborg - Sirius	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.04.25	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	GAIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Djurgården - GAIS	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	GAIS - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Mjällby - GAIS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.03.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	1:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.08.24	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:1
19.05.24	GAIS - Elfsborg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
18.02.24	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:0
19.02.18	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:3
Club Friendly
17.02.15	Elfsborg - GAIS	4:0
Svenska Cupen
17.03.13	Elfsborg - GAIS	3:1

Upcoming Matches