Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borås Arena (Borås) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Sweden	19:00	Sport Bladet Play


	Elfsborg		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.75
	1.63	4	4.75
	1.62	4.02	5.09
	1.62	4.16	4.81	Watch
	1.55	3.9	4.75
	1.64	4.2	4.89
	1.6	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.98)	4.02 ↑ (3.6)	4.87 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
57.8%

Draw
23.1%

Paphos
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elfsborg's performance.

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paphos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elfsborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paphos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	1.9%	3.7%

Elfsborg - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: Elfsborg will win (50 of 53 users predict this - 94.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. 16. Ouma T. 23. Hult N. 18. Qasem A. 10. Baidoo M. 9. Zeneli A.	1. Ivusic I. (G) 77. Correia J. 5. Goldar D. 4. Kvida J. 3. Melluso M. 25. Name M. 6. Pelagio P. 22. Tankovic M. 30. Dragomir V. 7. Bruno 10. Jairo (C)
Substitutes
14. Abdullai J. 6. Baldursson A. F. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 17. Frick P. 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 24. Jebara C. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 28. Soderberg N. 1. Uppenberg M. (G)	34. Dall'Igna D. 80. Efzona C. 70. Ilia M. 11. Jaja 81. Kolotas G. 93. Michail N. (G) 2. Pileas K. 27. Twumasi P. 24. Valakari O.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Zeneli B. ⚽,
12', Ouma T. 🟨,
26', Melluso M. 🟨,
38', Jairo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Name M. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
57', Melluso M. 🟨,
59', Zeneli A. (Pen),
59', 2 - 0, Hult N. ⚽,
60', Tankovic M. ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
64', Ouma T. ↓, Baldursson A. F. ↑,
65', Qasem A. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
71', Hedlund S. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
72', Zeneli A. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
79', Correia J. ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
79', Jairo ↓, Jaja ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Frick P. ⚽, Baidoo M. (A),
83', Zeneli B. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
90+5', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Elfsborg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paphos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elfsborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Paphos have a series of home games.

In this match Elfsborg is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.24	Elfsborg - Brommapojkarna	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
24.05.24	Elfsborg - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	GAIS - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL
- Paphos FC
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Paphos - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
28.06.24	Paphos - Ilirija Ljubljana	5:0 ✺
23.06.24	Paphos - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
18.05.24	Omonia - Paphos	0:3 ✺
Cypriot First Division
11.05.24	Paphos - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWT

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