Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	GAIS		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.70	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.70	4.40
	1.79	3.50	4.10
	1.80	3.86	4.88
	1.9	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.72	3.70	4.80
	1.82	3.77	4.20	Watch
	1.77	3.60	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.11)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)	4.39 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

Elfsborg
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GAIS's performance.

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GAIS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

GAIS - Elfsborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Elfsborg (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 1 - 50%). Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 22. Cardaklija A. 4. Agren O. 2. de Brienne M. 8. Milovanovic W. 7. Fagerjord J. 17. Thorkelsson R. 16. Andersson M. 20. Salter S. 11. Niklasson R.	31. Pettersson I. (G) 6. Wikstrom R. 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Isherwood T. 27. Okeke V. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 29. Kamara M. 19. Beck J. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 24. Ihler F.
Substitutes
24. Beckman F. 21. Ekong S. 12. Frej R. 28. Hedlund L. 25. Lindberg J. 32. Pettersson O. 13. Sims K. (G) 10. Sletsjoe H. 5. Wendin Thomasson R.	28. Aronsson F. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 2. Mohammed R. 21. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 7. Rohden M. 11. Silverholt T. 9. Zeneli A.
Coaches
Holmberg F.	Hamberg B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Agren O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Andersson M. ↓, Sletsjoe H. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Thorkelsson R. ⚽, Niklasson R. (A),
59', Olsson S. ↓, Rohden M. ↑,
59', Ihler F. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
68', Wangberg A. ↓, Frej R. ↑,
70', Kamara M. ↓, Silverholt T. ↑,
70', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Zeneli A. ↑,
73', Milovanovic W. ↓, Wendin Thomasson R. ↑,
74', Fagerjord J. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
81', Wendin Thomasson R. 🟨,
86', Salter S. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
87', Okeke V. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
90+1', Lindberg J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

GAIS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, GAIS is considered a favorite.

There will not play in GAIS: Bawa M. (Inactive) Hermansen A. (Knee Injury) Holmen K. (Knee Injury) Lundgren G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Broken ankle) Rohden M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Richtner L. (Elbow Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31:22	9	37
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28:21	7	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.26	Brommapojkarna - GAIS	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.06.26	GAIS - Halmstad	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	GAIS - Kalmar	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Sirius - GAIS	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	GAIS - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLW
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.07.26	Elfsborg - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.26	Fredrikstad - Elfsborg	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.26	Örgryte - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Elfsborg - Häcken	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Elfsborg - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.25	GAIS - Elfsborg	2:0
05.05.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:0
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	1:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.08.24	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:1
19.05.24	GAIS - Elfsborg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
18.02.24	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:0
19.02.18	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:3

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