Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Elfsborg		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.8	4.2
	1.78	3.75	4.33
	1.78	3.82	4.41
	1.79	3.89	4.01	Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.9
	1.81	3.92	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.28)	3.79 ↑ (3.3)	4.22 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
53%

Draw
24.8%

Rijeka
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elfsborg's performance.

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elfsborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Elfsborg - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 35 - 79.5%). Rijeka will win (votes: 3 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 67.6% – 91.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. 16. Ouma T. 23. Hult N. 18. Qasem A. 10. Baidoo M. 17. Frick P.	13. Zlomislic M. (G) 30. Bogojevic B. 5. Galesic N. (C) 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 8. Petrovic D. 87. Pasalic M. 25. Hodza V. 10. Fruk T. 4. Jankovic N. 11. Ivanovic F.
Substitutes
6. Baldursson A. F. 29. Buhari I. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 24. Jebara C. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 12. Ostman L. 26. Richtner L. 7. Thomasen J. 1. Uppenberg M. (G) 9. Zeneli A.	29. Babic A. 12. Banda E. 24. Burcul B. 27. Butic S. 7. Djouahra N. 21. Ilinkovic S. 45. Majstorovic A. 1. Posavec J. (G) 41. Rukavina G. 18. Selahi L. 28. Smolcic I.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Raic-Sudar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Henriksson G. ↓, Buhari I. ↑,
39', Fruk T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Petrovic D. 🟨,
58', Baidoo M. 🟨,
62', Fruk T. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
67', Frick P. ↓, Zeneli A. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Baidoo M. ⚽, Qasem A. (A),
73', Hodza V. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
73', Petrovic D. ↓, Banda E. ↑,
81', Jankovic N. 🟨,
83', Holmen S. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Qasem A. ⚽, Zeneli A. (A),
84', Bogojevic B. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
84', Jankovic N. ↓, Djouahra N. ↑,
89', Zlomislic M. 🟨,
90+1', Hiljemark O. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Rijeka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Elfsborg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.08.24	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Rijeka - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
01.08.24	Elfsborg - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.07.24	Elfsborg - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLW
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
11.08.24	Varaždin - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Rijeka - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.08.24	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Rijeka - Corvinul Hunedoara	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Rijeka - Elfsborg	1:1

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