Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday


	Elfsborg		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.33	5.25	8
	1.3	5.6	9
	1.32	5	8.4
	1.34	5.68	9.28
	1.29	4.8	8.5	Watch
	1.32	5.5	9.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.3 ↑ (5)	8.68 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
71.4%

Draw
17.8%

Sundsvall
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.7%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Elfsborg aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	3.6%	3.6%

Elfsborg - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: Elfsborg will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 11 and 13).

Elfsborg has the most likely position - 6 (10.26%), has project points - 46, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (24.5%), has project points - 27, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 21, importance 33, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sundsvall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elfsborg is indisputable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Elfsborg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.04.22	Helsingborg - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Elfsborg - Värnamo	4:1 ✺
11.04.22	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
04.04.22	Elfsborg - Mjällby	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.22	Halmstad - Elfsborg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLW
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.04.22	Sundsvall - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Sundsvall - Hammarby	1:5 ✺
03.04.22	Sirius - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
06.03.22	Sundsvall - Skiljebo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
19.02.22	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	3:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.08.19	Sundsvall - Elfsborg	1:2
14.04.19	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	3:1
21.10.18	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	2:0
29.04.18	Sundsvall - Elfsborg	2:1
15.10.17	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	2:1
26.04.17	Sundsvall - Elfsborg	1:1

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