Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)


	Elgin City		Ross County

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.38
	6.00	4.60	1.37
	6.1	4.65	1.41
	6.04	4.67	1.41
	6.23	4.79	1.43
	5.95	4.6	1.38
	6.34	4.58	1.42
	5.8	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.06 ↑ (5.6)	4.59 ↑ (4.34)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
15%

Draw
19.8%

Ross County
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

20.8%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

20.2%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Elgin City - Ross County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Colloty O. ⚽, Grant M. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Chin R. ⚽, Randall C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 2, Emslie A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 0.

Elgin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ross County is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Ross County is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.8:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ross County ✔	5	4	0	1	28:6	22	12
4	Elgin City ✔	5	4	0	1	14:2	12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	0:5 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Hamilton Academical - Elgin City	5:0 ✺
18.07.26	Elgin City - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Elgin City - Peterhead	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLLL
- Ross County
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Ross County - Montrose	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Peterhead - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:3 ✺
21.07.26	Ross County - Dundee	2:1 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Ross County - Clyde	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.21	Elgin City - Ross County	0:5
Scottish League Cup
10.11.20	Elgin City - Ross County	1:4
14.07.18	Ross County - Elgin City	2:0
Club Friendly
01.07.17	Elgin City - Ross County	0:1
11.07.15	Elgin City - Ross County	3:5
21.07.12	Elgin City - Ross County	N/A

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