Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino (Elvas)


	Elvas		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.15	4.55
	1.76	3.26	4.6	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.79	3.32	4.5
	1.9	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.66)	3.11 ↓ (3.45)	4.29 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
49.6%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético da Malveira
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Elvas - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Elvas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Malveira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Elvas is considered a favorite.

We predict that Elvas will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elvas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.01.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Elvas	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Moncarapachense - Elvas	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Elvas - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Serpa - Elvas	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Elvas - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWT
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sintrense - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.08.25	Atlético da Malveira - Elvas	0:1

Elvas - Atlético da Malveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide