Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Sport União Sintrense (Sintra)


	Sintrense		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.82	3.35
	2.19	2.87	3.35
	2.19	2.91	3.41	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.25
	2.18	2.89	3.38
	2.12	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.36 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sintrense
41.7%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético da Malveira
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sintrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético da Malveira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Sintrense - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent performances by Sintrense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malveira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Malveira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sintrense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.12.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Sintrense	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sintrense - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Porto - Sintrense	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.11.25	Comércio e Indústria - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sintrense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWT
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Comércio e Indústria - Atlético da Malveira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.17	Atlético da Malveira - Sintrense	2:3

Sintrense - Atlético da Malveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide