Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13Date: 21 December 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Dr.António Joao Eusebio (Moncarapacho)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Moncarapachense |
|
Elvas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.45 |
2.88 |
2.12 |
|
 |
3.52 |
2.82 |
2.2 |
 Watch |
 |
3.3 |
2.75 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.49 |
2.86 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.5 |
2.71 |
2.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(3.55) |
2.8 ↓
(3) |
2.16 ↑
(2.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moncarapachense
26.1% | Draw
32.2% | Elvas
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Moncarapachense - Elvas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).Moncarapachense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Elvas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Elvas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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