Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday


	Elversberg		Homburg

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.6	6.25
	1.37	4.7	6.4
	1.37	4.9	6.4
	1.37	4.49	6.28
	1.4	5.1	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.69)	4.76 ↑ (3.74)	6.42 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
66.5%

Draw
19.2%

Homburg
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Homburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elversberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Homburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elversberg - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0.

Elversberg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Homburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elversberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Elversberg to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.05.22	FSV Frankfurt - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Elversberg - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
22.04.22	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Elversberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:0 ✺
12.04.22	Balingen - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.04.22	Homburg - FSV Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Homburg	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	0:0 ✺
05.04.22	Homburg - Gießen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.11.21	Homburg - Elversberg	2:1
20.03.21	Elversberg - Homburg	1:1
03.10.20	Homburg - Elversberg	1:2
07.09.19	Elversberg - Homburg	2:3
07.12.18	Elversberg - Homburg	2:0
07.08.18	Homburg - Elversberg	3:0
18.02.17	Elversberg - Homburg	2:2

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