Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 5h 24m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belarus	22:30	Sport TV
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	15:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:30	Disney+
China	03:30	Migu
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 9
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
India	01:00	Vision+, ZEE5
Indonesia	02:30	GTV, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Italy	20:30	Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:30	FOX One
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	22:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	02:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	15:30	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
International	19:30	OneFootball TV


	Elversberg		Mainz

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.80	2.00	Watch
	3.20	3.80	2.10
	3.20	3.65	2.07
	3.44	3.95	2.08
	3.21	4.08	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.85	2.03
	3.39	4.12	2.09	Watch
	3.35	3.90	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.21)	3.89 ↑ (3.82)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
28.8%

Draw
24.5%

Mainz
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.8%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Mainz aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	23.1%	50%

Elversberg - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Mainz will win (votes: 13 - 52%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mainz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 7th).

Elversberg is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mainz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mainz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Elversberg: Zimmerschied T. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Mainz: Kohr D. (Foot Injury) Silas (Broken shinbone).

Doubtful / questionable for Elversberg: Darvich N. (Hamstring Injury) Gunther L. (Knock) Gyamerah J. (Thigh Injury) Pinckert L. (Muscle Injury) Seifert L. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Mainz: Amiri N. (Knee Injury) Ruoppi O. (Knee Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Elversberg has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elversberg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mainz	7	3	1	3	16:13	3	10
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Elversberg: 0.2% Mainz: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German DFB Pokal
27.10.26	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.10.26	RB Leipzig - Elversberg	4:0 ✺
17.10.26	Elversberg - Augsburg	4:3 ✺
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLT
- Mainz 05
German DFB Pokal
27.10.26	Bochum - Mainz	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.10.26	Mainz - Werder Bremen	2:3 ✺
17.10.26	Schalke 04 - Mainz	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Mainz	0:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Elversberg - Mainz	0:1
08.08.21	Elversberg - Mainz	2:3 penalties

Elversberg - Mainz