Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Ponte De Sor (Ponte de Sor)


	Eléctrico		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	6.3	3.9	1.44
	6.32	3.8	1.45
	6.4	3.83	1.48	Watch
	6	3.5	1.44
	5.67	4.02	1.53
	6.33	3.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (5.37)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eléctrico
14.6%

Draw
23.8%

Vitória de Sernache
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

24.4%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

23.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eléctrico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eléctrico than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Eléctrico - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Eléctrico has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sernache is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sernache is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eléctrico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eléctrico FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Os Marialvas - Eléctrico	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Eléctrico - Naval	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Eléctrico - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Fatima - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Eléctrico - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLTW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Lajense - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vitória de Sernache - Os Marialvas	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Fatima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Vitória de Sernache - Eléctrico	3:0

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