Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 11

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira (Cernache do Bonjardim) 🌤️ ...


	Vitória de Sernache		Fatima

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5.15
	1.49	3.56	5.9
	1.55	3.57	6.01	Watch
	1.53	3.52	6.1
	1.52	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	5.83 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
58.9%

Draw
25.6%

Fatima
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

25%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Vitória de Sernache - Fatima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 7).

Sernache is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fatima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sernache is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sernache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Lajense	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Peniche	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLTW
- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	Fatima - Os Marialvas	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Fatima	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Naval - Fatima	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fatima - Mortágua	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Lajense - Fatima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.20	Fatima - Vitória de Sernache	1:2

Vitória de Sernache - Fatima